Saturday
Weather
Fresh force 5 WSW’ly winds will bring another day of sunny spells and the odd heavy shower. Those downpours will never last longer than a few minutes, but they’ll be wet enough to be really irritating if you have washing on the line, so keep a sharp eye on the horizon and you will hopefully be ok. Temperatures will only peak around 17-18°C in most areas, whilst just tickling 19°C in Town. Quite chilly overnight too, with a minimum of 12-13°C as the wind falls light but the skies becoming increasingly cloudy.
Surf and the Water
The surf will be 4-5 feet at dawn, decreasing 3-4 feet by dusk. It will also be marginally cleaner in the morning than the afternoon. Windsurfing and kitesurfing conditions will be pretty good, and it won’t be quite as gusty as the last couple of days. Swimming conditions will be reasonable in the sheltered corners of northern and western bays in the morning, but generally the east coast will be best all day. High tide will be 8.5m at 11am, low tide will be at 5:15pm.
Sunday
Weather
Cloudy with rain and drizzle turning up around 8am and then persisting through most or perhaps all of the morning. The wind will be a force 4-5 SSE’ly through the morning, then as the drizzle fades away in the afternoon, the wind will veer SW’ly and become really strong… force 6 by late afternoon and then force 7 in the evening. Showers will likely return overnight, adding to the noise, so probably disturbing the light sleepers around the Island. Mild though, with a max of 19-20°C by day and a min of 15-16°C by night.
Surf and the Water
Super-clean 3 foot surf in the morning, only becoming slightly choppier in the afternoon. The winds will be fantastic for windsurfing and kitesurfing, but very difficult for surfers to paddle against. Swimmers will be best to wait until the afternoon and then head to a very sheltered east-coast spot like Fermain. High tide will be 7.9m at 11:40am, low tide will be around 6pm.
Next Week
Weather
Sunny spells and squally showers on Monday, with the W’ly wind just as strong as Sunday’s SW’ly. Tuesday morning might offer temporary respite from wind and weather, albeit with cloudy skies, but then Tuesday afternoon and night are looking extremely wet and windy, with as much as 15mm of rain likely in that period. Wednesday to Friday look much more settled though, with high pressure over southeast France, extending its influence to the Channel. Weak weather fronts will be to the nearby northwest, so I don’t expect skies to be perfectly blue, and we may well see a few light showers, but winds will be much lighter than of late (moderate force 4 at their worst), and the air will start wafting in from the south rather than the west, meaning that temperatures should rise to the low twenties if not by Wednesday, then possibly by Thursday and probably by Friday.
Surf and the Water
A very big swell on Monday… 10 feet but pretty choppy on the west coast I’m afraid. Tuesday should maintain about 6 feet of that swell, but the subsequent days will be down to 2-4 feet. Wind-wise, Monday and Tuesday look best for windsurfing and kitesurfing, then the rest of the week look best for surfing and swimming. Low tides will progress from around dawn on Monday to around midday on Friday. Highs will progress from around lunchtime on Monday to around dinnertime on Friday.
The next forecast update will be on Monday…
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Swim Conditions
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