Tuesday
Weather
Probably a tad cloudier than Monday, but fewer (if any) showers and much lighter W’ly winds… moderate force 4 from dawn until late afternoon, then light force 3 as we go into he evening. Temperatures will be a balance of these elements, all resulting in the same 18°C max as on Monday, but feel much more comfortable due to the relaxation of the wind.
Surf and the Water
Solid 6 foot surf to start the day, getting smaller (4-5 feet) but also much cleaner towards the end of the day. For swimming the east coast will be the smoothest area throughout, and with small high tides and lighter widns, this includes the more northeastern areas like Bordeaux as well as the usual secluded southeastern spots. Low water will be at 8:15am. High water will be 6.8m at 2:40pm.
Wednesday
Weather
Grey sky throughout, as a very weak weather front lurks over the north of the Channel, so weak that we will probably remaind dry. It will be quite windy… a fresh force 5 SW’ly, occasionally backing SSW’ly. But atleast this will be bringing mild air to the Islands, allowing us to easily reach 19°C, even with the absence of sunshine.
Surf and the Water
Cleanish surf, but very small compared to the previous day… only 2-3 feet at dawn, dropping off to 1-2 feet the afternoon. Stronger winds will be to the delight of windurfers and kitesurfers though. Shelter-seekers (swimmers) will do best at Fermain through most of the day, but also in the southern or western corners of the bays along the west and north coasts. Low water will be at 10:15am. High water will be 7.2m at 4:20pm.
Thursday and Friday
Weather
A mixed bag of cloud and sunshine, but force 2 to 4 S’ly or SE’ly breezes will bring lovely warm air to the Islands with the likely maxima being 21°C both days. There could be some Thundery showers on Friday night, but the chances are still quite low, due to the usual uncertainty of whether they will pass to the nearby east or west. Apart from that, it’s looking dry and delightfully settled compared to the rest of the month thus far.
Surf and the Water
Cleanish surf, but very small compared to the previous day… only 2-3 feet at dawn, dropping off to 1-2 feet the afternoon. Stronger winds will be to the delight of windurfers and kitesurfers though. Shelter-seekers (swimmers) will do best at Fermain through most of the day, but also in the southern or western corners of the bays along the west and north coasts. Low water will be at 10:15am. High water will be 7.2m at 4:20pm.
The Weekend
Weather
Probably much like the previous days in terms of the ratio of cloud to sunshine. However, with winds coming from a greater variety of directions (light to moderate), there is a little extra uncertainty about temperature and precipitation probability. The most general and most likely summary, is that it will be far more pleasant than the weekend we have just had, with daily maxima sitting comfortably between 19 and 22°C.
Surf and the Water
The surf is likely to be 2-3 feet and clean at times. The question is how well those clean moments will marry up with the optimum tides. As the moon wanes to newness, the tidal range will become large again, with lows around lunchtime and highs around dawn and dinnertime, increasing from 8.6m on Saturday morning to 9.3m on Sunday evening.
The next forecast update will be on Thursday…
Previous Weather Fox ForecastsTide Tables
Swim Conditions
Ormering
Lihou Causeway